How to Expect the Unexpected: The Science of Making Predictions--And the Art of Knowing When Not to -- Kit Yates, Hardcover Sterling Hayden Track: 1 - Revolution of

Track: 1 - Revolution of the Mind

Track: 3 - Voices

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Track: 1 - Father Bird

How to Expect the Unexpected: The Science of Making Predictions--And the Art of Knowing When Not to -- Kit Yates, Hardcover Sterling Hayden Track: 1 - Revolution ofA "vivid, wide ranging, and delightful guide" (bestselling author Tim Harford) for understanding how and why predictions go wrong, with practical tips to give you a better chance of getting them right How can you be 100 percent sure you will win a bet? Why did so many Pompeians stay put while Mount Vesuvius was erupting? Are you more likely to work in a kitchen if your last name is Baker? Ever since the dawn of human civilization, we have been trying